Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Wuhan on August 15, with thundery showers and cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, abundant atmospheric moisture and potential convective storms promote evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, keeping maxima clustered around 30–32°C rather than the seasonal average near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small timing shifts in precipitation or variations in boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily extreme between 30°C and 32°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty, with real-money bets aggregating the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
31°C 34%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
29%
31°C
34%
32°C
18%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$276 Vol.
1%
28°C
$693 Vol.
5%
29°C
$430 Vol.
15%
30°C
$1,036 Vol.
29%
31°C
$798 Vol.
34%
32°C
$2,109 Vol.
18%
33°C
$700 Vol.
4%
34°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$429 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Wuhan on August 15, with thundery showers and cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, abundant atmospheric moisture and potential convective storms promote evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, keeping maxima clustered around 30–32°C rather than the seasonal average near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small timing shifts in precipitation or variations in boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily extreme between 30°C and 32°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty, with real-money bets aggregating the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,200End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Wuhan on August 15, with thundery showers and cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, abundant atmospheric moisture and potential convective storms promote evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, keeping maxima clustered around 30–32°C rather than the seasonal average near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small timing shifts in precipitation or variations in boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily extreme between 30°C and 32°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty, with real-money bets aggregating the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,200End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Wuhan on August 15, with thundery showers and cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, abundant atmospheric moisture and potential convective storms promote evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, keeping maxima clustered around 30–32°C rather than the seasonal average near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small timing shifts in precipitation or variations in boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily extreme between 30°C and 32°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty, with real-money bets aggregating the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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