Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing indicate peak temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating amid the region's mountainous topography, which traps warm air and elevates humidity. Ensemble model outputs show minor variations in daytime maxima around 36–37°C due to uncertainties in convective precipitation timing and local wind patterns, with historical August baselines averaging near 34°C but frequently exceeding this under similar synoptic conditions. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for these outcomes reflect trader assessment of forecast spread and potential for slight intensification from urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
36°C 45%
37°C 36%
35°C 11%
38°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
45%
37°C
36%
38°C
10%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 36%
35°C 11%
38°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
$1,199 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,045 Vol.
2%
35°C
$561 Vol.
11%
36°C
$1,070 Vol.
45%
37°C
$960 Vol.
36%
38°C
$463 Vol.
10%
39°C
$468 Vol.
2%
40°C
$136 Vol.
1%
41°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing indicate peak temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating amid the region's mountainous topography, which traps warm air and elevates humidity. Ensemble model outputs show minor variations in daytime maxima around 36–37°C due to uncertainties in convective precipitation timing and local wind patterns, with historical August baselines averaging near 34°C but frequently exceeding this under similar synoptic conditions. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for these outcomes reflect trader assessment of forecast spread and potential for slight intensification from urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,293End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing indicate peak temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating amid the region's mountainous topography, which traps warm air and elevates humidity. Ensemble model outputs show minor variations in daytime maxima around 36–37°C due to uncertainties in convective precipitation timing and local wind patterns, with historical August baselines averaging near 34°C but frequently exceeding this under similar synoptic conditions. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for these outcomes reflect trader assessment of forecast spread and potential for slight intensification from urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,293End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing indicate peak temperatures likely in the mid-30s Celsius on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating amid the region's mountainous topography, which traps warm air and elevates humidity. Ensemble model outputs show minor variations in daytime maxima around 36–37°C due to uncertainties in convective precipitation timing and local wind patterns, with historical August baselines averaging near 34°C but frequently exceeding this under similar synoptic conditions. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for these outcomes reflect trader assessment of forecast spread and potential for slight intensification from urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions