**Trader consensus on a 13°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 14 reflects the latest official forecasts and observations from MetService and NIWA, which project a peak near or at that level under mostly cloudy conditions with southerly flows.** August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C in the region, and current model runs align closely with this baseline without strong warming signals from subtropical air or clear-sky heating. Real-time station data at Wellington Airport and Kelburn indicate morning readings in the 10–11°C range, supporting limited diurnal rise. The near-100% implied probability captures this tight scientific agreement, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still push the verified maximum to 14°C or hold it at 12°C depending on final hourly observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$64,103 Vol.
$64,103 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$64,103 Vol.
$64,103 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
$333 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,946 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$13,488 Vol.
100%
14°C
$11,821 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,058 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15,766 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 13°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 14 reflects the latest official forecasts and observations from MetService and NIWA, which project a peak near or at that level under mostly cloudy conditions with southerly flows.** August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C in the region, and current model runs align closely with this baseline without strong warming signals from subtropical air or clear-sky heating. Real-time station data at Wellington Airport and Kelburn indicate morning readings in the 10–11°C range, supporting limited diurnal rise. The near-100% implied probability captures this tight scientific agreement, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still push the verified maximum to 14°C or hold it at 12°C depending on final hourly observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$64,103End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 13°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 14 reflects the latest official forecasts and observations from MetService and NIWA, which project a peak near or at that level under mostly cloudy conditions with southerly flows.** August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C in the region, and current model runs align closely with this baseline without strong warming signals from subtropical air or clear-sky heating. Real-time station data at Wellington Airport and Kelburn indicate morning readings in the 10–11°C range, supporting limited diurnal rise. The near-100% implied probability captures this tight scientific agreement, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still push the verified maximum to 14°C or hold it at 12°C depending on final hourly observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,103End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 13°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 14 reflects the latest official forecasts and observations from MetService and NIWA, which project a peak near or at that level under mostly cloudy conditions with southerly flows.** August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C in the region, and current model runs align closely with this baseline without strong warming signals from subtropical air or clear-sky heating. Real-time station data at Wellington Airport and Kelburn indicate morning readings in the 10–11°C range, supporting limited diurnal rise. The near-100% implied probability captures this tight scientific agreement, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still push the verified maximum to 14°C or hold it at 12°C depending on final hourly observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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