Current forecasts for Panama City indicate a daily maximum near 31–32 °C on August 23, with the market split almost evenly between these two outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season, combined with high humidity and building cloud cover, is expected to limit peak solar heating and keep readings from climbing higher. Recent model runs show scattered thunderstorms developing by midday, which would reduce insolation and favor the lower end of the range, while any delay in storm initiation or brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32 °C. Historical August averages hover around 31 °C, with variability driven by the timing of tropical moisture and trade-wind patterns. Updated NHC and local meteorological guidance later today will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
32°C 36%
31°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
36%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 36%
31°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
36%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City indicate a daily maximum near 31–32 °C on August 23, with the market split almost evenly between these two outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the wet season, combined with high humidity and building cloud cover, is expected to limit peak solar heating and keep readings from climbing higher. Recent model runs show scattered thunderstorms developing by midday, which would reduce insolation and favor the lower end of the range, while any delay in storm initiation or brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32 °C. Historical August averages hover around 31 °C, with variability driven by the timing of tropical moisture and trade-wind patterns. Updated NHC and local meteorological guidance later today will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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