Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast model runs for August 23 indicate a daily high near or slightly below the long-term Central Park average of 83°F, driven by moderating onshore flow and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus around the 82-83°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with the adjacent 80-81°F bin holding secondary support at 28.5%. Ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty tied to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any late-day sea breeze, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit odds. Official observations from the Central Park station will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 6%
NEW
$20,513 Vol.
NEW
$20,513 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 6%
NEW
$20,513 Vol.
NEW
$20,513 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$753 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,410 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,745 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$3,199 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$3,858 Vol.
53%
84-85°F
$3,015 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$2,952 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$449 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$195 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast model runs for August 23 indicate a daily high near or slightly below the long-term Central Park average of 83°F, driven by moderating onshore flow and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus around the 82-83°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with the adjacent 80-81°F bin holding secondary support at 28.5%. Ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty tied to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any late-day sea breeze, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit odds. Official observations from the Central Park station will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$20,513End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast model runs for August 23 indicate a daily high near or slightly below the long-term Central Park average of 83°F, driven by moderating onshore flow and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus around the 82-83°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with the adjacent 80-81°F bin holding secondary support at 28.5%. Ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty tied to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any late-day sea breeze, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit odds. Official observations from the Central Park station will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,513End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast model runs for August 23 indicate a daily high near or slightly below the long-term Central Park average of 83°F, driven by moderating onshore flow and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions have consolidated trader consensus around the 82-83°F outcome at 52% implied probability, with the adjacent 80-81°F bin holding secondary support at 28.5%. Ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty tied to boundary-layer moisture and timing of any late-day sea breeze, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit odds. Official observations from the Central Park station will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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