Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Munich on August 21 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts from European meteorological services indicating a maximum near 20–22°C amid northeasterly winds and high humidity. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the August climatological average high of 23.9°C. Model consensus points to limited insolation during peak heating hours, though slight variations in storm timing or intensity could allow brief breaks that nudge readings toward 23°C or hold them at 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this real-time observational data heavily, with the closely matched probabilities at 21°C and 22°C reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 21?
21°C 28%
22°C 23%
24°C or higher 21%
23°C 18%
NEW
$59,090 Vol.
NEW
$59,090 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
23%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
21%
21°C 28%
22°C 23%
24°C or higher 21%
23°C 18%
NEW
$59,090 Vol.
NEW
$59,090 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$439 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,640 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,333 Vol.
1%
19°C
$4,694 Vol.
3%
20°C
$10,421 Vol.
13%
21°C
$11,498 Vol.
28%
22°C
$7,915 Vol.
23%
23°C
$5,463 Vol.
18%
24°C or higher
$5,723 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Munich on August 21 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts from European meteorological services indicating a maximum near 20–22°C amid northeasterly winds and high humidity. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the August climatological average high of 23.9°C. Model consensus points to limited insolation during peak heating hours, though slight variations in storm timing or intensity could allow brief breaks that nudge readings toward 23°C or hold them at 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this real-time observational data heavily, with the closely matched probabilities at 21°C and 22°C reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$59,090End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Munich on August 21 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts from European meteorological services indicating a maximum near 20–22°C amid northeasterly winds and high humidity. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the August climatological average high of 23.9°C. Model consensus points to limited insolation during peak heating hours, though slight variations in storm timing or intensity could allow brief breaks that nudge readings toward 23°C or hold them at 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this real-time observational data heavily, with the closely matched probabilities at 21°C and 22°C reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,090End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Munich on August 21 are suppressing daytime heating, with official forecasts from European meteorological services indicating a maximum near 20–22°C amid northeasterly winds and high humidity. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the August climatological average high of 23.9°C. Model consensus points to limited insolation during peak heating hours, though slight variations in storm timing or intensity could allow brief breaks that nudge readings toward 23°C or hold them at 21°C. Traders appear to weigh this real-time observational data heavily, with the closely matched probabilities at 21°C and 22°C reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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