Official temperature observations from the primary Miami reporting station aligned with National Weather Service and model guidance, confirming a daily maximum of 92–93°F under persistent subtropical ridging, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection that limited cooling. This outcome sits near or slightly above seasonal normals for late August while remaining well below recent heat-wave peaks exceeding 95°F earlier in the month. Market consensus at 100% reflects the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data and forecast verification, with only narrow uncertainty from potential post-processing adjustments. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or use of an alternate station exceeding typical 1–2°F discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 20?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$50,173 Vol.
$50,173 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$50,173 Vol.
$50,173 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,138 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,103 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$6,098 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$12,766 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$9,675 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$9,406 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$967 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$852 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from the primary Miami reporting station aligned with National Weather Service and model guidance, confirming a daily maximum of 92–93°F under persistent subtropical ridging, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection that limited cooling. This outcome sits near or slightly above seasonal normals for late August while remaining well below recent heat-wave peaks exceeding 95°F earlier in the month. Market consensus at 100% reflects the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data and forecast verification, with only narrow uncertainty from potential post-processing adjustments. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or use of an alternate station exceeding typical 1–2°F discrepancies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$50,173End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from the primary Miami reporting station aligned with National Weather Service and model guidance, confirming a daily maximum of 92–93°F under persistent subtropical ridging, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection that limited cooling. This outcome sits near or slightly above seasonal normals for late August while remaining well below recent heat-wave peaks exceeding 95°F earlier in the month. Market consensus at 100% reflects the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data and forecast verification, with only narrow uncertainty from potential post-processing adjustments. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or use of an alternate station exceeding typical 1–2°F discrepancies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,173End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from the primary Miami reporting station aligned with National Weather Service and model guidance, confirming a daily maximum of 92–93°F under persistent subtropical ridging, light winds, and minimal afternoon convection that limited cooling. This outcome sits near or slightly above seasonal normals for late August while remaining well below recent heat-wave peaks exceeding 95°F earlier in the month. Market consensus at 100% reflects the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data and forecast verification, with only narrow uncertainty from potential post-processing adjustments. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or use of an alternate station exceeding typical 1–2°F discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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