Recent numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate overnight lows for Munich on August 21 near 11–14°C amid thundery showers and southwesterly flow. This positions 12°C and 13°C outcomes near the center of market-implied odds, while elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in minimum temperatures under variable cloud cover and potential for enhanced radiative cooling during clearer intervals. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C, with southwesterly winds generally limiting further drops; however, shower timing and localized pooling of cooler air can shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 21?
9°C or below 89%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
15°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
89%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
25%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 89%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
15°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$92 Vol.
89%
10°C
$98 Vol.
14%
11°C
$92 Vol.
14%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$16 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate overnight lows for Munich on August 21 near 11–14°C amid thundery showers and southwesterly flow. This positions 12°C and 13°C outcomes near the center of market-implied odds, while elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in minimum temperatures under variable cloud cover and potential for enhanced radiative cooling during clearer intervals. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C, with southwesterly winds generally limiting further drops; however, shower timing and localized pooling of cooler air can shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$710End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate overnight lows for Munich on August 21 near 11–14°C amid thundery showers and southwesterly flow. This positions 12°C and 13°C outcomes near the center of market-implied odds, while elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in minimum temperatures under variable cloud cover and potential for enhanced radiative cooling during clearer intervals. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C, with southwesterly winds generally limiting further drops; however, shower timing and localized pooling of cooler air can shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$710End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate overnight lows for Munich on August 21 near 11–14°C amid thundery showers and southwesterly flow. This positions 12°C and 13°C outcomes near the center of market-implied odds, while elevated probability on 9°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in minimum temperatures under variable cloud cover and potential for enhanced radiative cooling during clearer intervals. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–14°C, with southwesterly winds generally limiting further drops; however, shower timing and localized pooling of cooler air can shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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