Recent forecasts point to overnight lows near 64–69°F at Los Angeles stations, aligning with typical August marine-layer influence that moderates temperatures through persistent onshore flow and low-level moisture. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in marine-layer depth, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the minimum several degrees: deeper, cloudier layers enhance cooling by limiting daytime heating and radiative loss, while clearer or stronger-wind nights allow slightly higher readings. Historical August minima cluster around 66°F, with 57°F or below requiring an unusually robust marine push rarely seen this late in summer. Upcoming NWS model updates and evening observations will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-60s buckets that dominate current market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
70-71°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
66-67°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
66-67°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
57°F or below
$27 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$27 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$27 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$27 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$12 Vol.
29%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76°F or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts point to overnight lows near 64–69°F at Los Angeles stations, aligning with typical August marine-layer influence that moderates temperatures through persistent onshore flow and low-level moisture. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in marine-layer depth, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the minimum several degrees: deeper, cloudier layers enhance cooling by limiting daytime heating and radiative loss, while clearer or stronger-wind nights allow slightly higher readings. Historical August minima cluster around 66°F, with 57°F or below requiring an unusually robust marine push rarely seen this late in summer. Upcoming NWS model updates and evening observations will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-60s buckets that dominate current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$147End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts point to overnight lows near 64–69°F at Los Angeles stations, aligning with typical August marine-layer influence that moderates temperatures through persistent onshore flow and low-level moisture. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in marine-layer depth, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the minimum several degrees: deeper, cloudier layers enhance cooling by limiting daytime heating and radiative loss, while clearer or stronger-wind nights allow slightly higher readings. Historical August minima cluster around 66°F, with 57°F or below requiring an unusually robust marine push rarely seen this late in summer. Upcoming NWS model updates and evening observations will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-60s buckets that dominate current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$147End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts point to overnight lows near 64–69°F at Los Angeles stations, aligning with typical August marine-layer influence that moderates temperatures through persistent onshore flow and low-level moisture. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in marine-layer depth, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the minimum several degrees: deeper, cloudier layers enhance cooling by limiting daytime heating and radiative loss, while clearer or stronger-wind nights allow slightly higher readings. Historical August minima cluster around 66°F, with 57°F or below requiring an unusually robust marine push rarely seen this late in summer. Upcoming NWS model updates and evening observations will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-60s buckets that dominate current market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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