Recent forecast guidance points to nighttime minima near 26–27°C in Panama City on August 22, sustaining tight market-implied odds across those bins during the peak rainy season. Persistent high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit radiative cooling while moderating daytime maxima, producing the narrow temperature range typical of August climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing and local wind patterns, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing slightly lower readings near 25°C or below. Official updates from regional meteorological centers ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
26°C 35%
27°C 34%
21°C or below 30%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
30%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
35%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 35%
27°C 34%
21°C or below 30%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
30%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$56 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$50 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to nighttime minima near 26–27°C in Panama City on August 22, sustaining tight market-implied odds across those bins during the peak rainy season. Persistent high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit radiative cooling while moderating daytime maxima, producing the narrow temperature range typical of August climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing and local wind patterns, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing slightly lower readings near 25°C or below. Official updates from regional meteorological centers ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$106End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to nighttime minima near 26–27°C in Panama City on August 22, sustaining tight market-implied odds across those bins during the peak rainy season. Persistent high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit radiative cooling while moderating daytime maxima, producing the narrow temperature range typical of August climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing and local wind patterns, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing slightly lower readings near 25°C or below. Official updates from regional meteorological centers ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance points to nighttime minima near 26–27°C in Panama City on August 22, sustaining tight market-implied odds across those bins during the peak rainy season. Persistent high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit radiative cooling while moderating daytime maxima, producing the narrow temperature range typical of August climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing and local wind patterns, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing slightly lower readings near 25°C or below. Official updates from regional meteorological centers ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions