**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 35°C high in Taipei on August 21, reflecting Central Weather Bureau forecasts and model guidance projecting daytime peaks near that level under subtropical summer conditions.** High humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover typical of late August are expected to allow temperatures to build before afternoon convection develops. Historical August means hover around 32–34°C, providing context for why markets assign over 90% implied probability to 35°C as the threshold most consistent with current guidance. Persistent heavy rain or thicker cloud decks could realistically suppress readings below this mark by limiting solar heating, though current consensus points to sufficient breaks for the higher outcome. Updated observations and any revised model runs will clarify resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 21?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 21?
35°C 99%
36°C 1.1%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
NEW
$63,294 Vol.
NEW
$63,294 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99%
36°C 1.1%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
NEW
$63,294 Vol.
NEW
$63,294 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,391 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,311 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,016 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,748 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11,880 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,899 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$7,487 Vol.
99%
36°C
$4,889 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,851 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$2,800 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 35°C high in Taipei on August 21, reflecting Central Weather Bureau forecasts and model guidance projecting daytime peaks near that level under subtropical summer conditions.** High humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover typical of late August are expected to allow temperatures to build before afternoon convection develops. Historical August means hover around 32–34°C, providing context for why markets assign over 90% implied probability to 35°C as the threshold most consistent with current guidance. Persistent heavy rain or thicker cloud decks could realistically suppress readings below this mark by limiting solar heating, though current consensus points to sufficient breaks for the higher outcome. Updated observations and any revised model runs will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$63,294End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 35°C high in Taipei on August 21, reflecting Central Weather Bureau forecasts and model guidance projecting daytime peaks near that level under subtropical summer conditions.** High humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover typical of late August are expected to allow temperatures to build before afternoon convection develops. Historical August means hover around 32–34°C, providing context for why markets assign over 90% implied probability to 35°C as the threshold most consistent with current guidance. Persistent heavy rain or thicker cloud decks could realistically suppress readings below this mark by limiting solar heating, though current consensus points to sufficient breaks for the higher outcome. Updated observations and any revised model runs will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,294End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 35°C high in Taipei on August 21, reflecting Central Weather Bureau forecasts and model guidance projecting daytime peaks near that level under subtropical summer conditions.** High humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover typical of late August are expected to allow temperatures to build before afternoon convection develops. Historical August means hover around 32–34°C, providing context for why markets assign over 90% implied probability to 35°C as the threshold most consistent with current guidance. Persistent heavy rain or thicker cloud decks could realistically suppress readings below this mark by limiting solar heating, though current consensus points to sufficient breaks for the higher outcome. Updated observations and any revised model runs will clarify resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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