The market consensus on 64-65°F reflects the official National Weather Service observation from Central Park on August 20, where the lowest temperature reached that narrow band amid typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This reading sits slightly below the long-term August minimum average for the site and aligns with recent forecast model runs showing stable overnight conditions without significant advection of warmer air. NOAA station protocols and the 24-hour minimum definition leave little room for revision, producing the near-certain outcome. Only an unforeseen data correction from the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 20?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 20?
64-65°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$37,841 Vol.
$37,841 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$37,841 Vol.
$37,841 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
61°F or below
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,384 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,484 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$783 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,016 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,129 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,674 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,278 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$11,705 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$12,302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on 64-65°F reflects the official National Weather Service observation from Central Park on August 20, where the lowest temperature reached that narrow band amid typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This reading sits slightly below the long-term August minimum average for the site and aligns with recent forecast model runs showing stable overnight conditions without significant advection of warmer air. NOAA station protocols and the 24-hour minimum definition leave little room for revision, producing the near-certain outcome. Only an unforeseen data correction from the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$37,841End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on 64-65°F reflects the official National Weather Service observation from Central Park on August 20, where the lowest temperature reached that narrow band amid typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This reading sits slightly below the long-term August minimum average for the site and aligns with recent forecast model runs showing stable overnight conditions without significant advection of warmer air. NOAA station protocols and the 24-hour minimum definition leave little room for revision, producing the near-certain outcome. Only an unforeseen data correction from the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,841End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus on 64-65°F reflects the official National Weather Service observation from Central Park on August 20, where the lowest temperature reached that narrow band amid typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity. This reading sits slightly below the long-term August minimum average for the site and aligns with recent forecast model runs showing stable overnight conditions without significant advection of warmer air. NOAA station protocols and the 24-hour minimum definition leave little room for revision, producing the near-certain outcome. Only an unforeseen data correction from the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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