**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are keeping the official high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) well below 91°F today.** National Weather Service point forecasts for the station call for a peak near 81°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with the typical August climatology of 76–85°F at the coastal site. Low stratus clouds and cool Pacific air continue to suppress afternoon warming, as they have in recent similar markets where traders converged on 78–81°F readings. This strong scientific consensus—backed by model guidance and real-time observations—explains the 99.8% implied probability for 91°F or below. The only realistic scenarios that could push temperatures higher involve an unexpected marine-layer breakup or a shift to stronger offshore winds, neither of which is indicated in current forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 99.8%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
100%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
91°F or below 99.8%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
$1,373 Vol.
100%
92-93°F
$873 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$382 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$972 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$172 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$176 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$891 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are keeping the official high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) well below 91°F today.** National Weather Service point forecasts for the station call for a peak near 81°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with the typical August climatology of 76–85°F at the coastal site. Low stratus clouds and cool Pacific air continue to suppress afternoon warming, as they have in recent similar markets where traders converged on 78–81°F readings.
This strong scientific consensus—backed by model guidance and real-time observations—explains the 99.8% implied probability for 91°F or below. The only realistic scenarios that could push temperatures higher involve an unexpected marine-layer breakup or a shift to stronger offshore winds, neither of which is indicated in current forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$7,824End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are keeping the official high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) well below 91°F today.** National Weather Service point forecasts for the station call for a peak near 81°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with the typical August climatology of 76–85°F at the coastal site. Low stratus clouds and cool Pacific air continue to suppress afternoon warming, as they have in recent similar markets where traders converged on 78–81°F readings.
This strong scientific consensus—backed by model guidance and real-time observations—explains the 99.8% implied probability for 91°F or below. The only realistic scenarios that could push temperatures higher involve an unexpected marine-layer breakup or a shift to stronger offshore winds, neither of which is indicated in current forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,824End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow are keeping the official high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) well below 91°F today.** National Weather Service point forecasts for the station call for a peak near 81°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with the typical August climatology of 76–85°F at the coastal site. Low stratus clouds and cool Pacific air continue to suppress afternoon warming, as they have in recent similar markets where traders converged on 78–81°F readings. This strong scientific consensus—backed by model guidance and real-time observations—explains the 99.8% implied probability for 91°F or below. The only realistic scenarios that could push temperatures higher involve an unexpected marine-layer breakup or a shift to stronger offshore winds, neither of which is indicated in current forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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