**Marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific have kept coastal Los Angeles temperatures suppressed, driving the overwhelming market consensus toward a 78–79°F daily high at KLAX.** Latest National Weather Service model guidance and observational trends show persistent stratus and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the basin where marine effects often cap highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data favoring the narrow 78–79°F bin over higher outcomes. Realistic challenges include any unexpected weakening of the marine layer or shift to offshore flow that could allow brief warming into the low 80s before resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
78-79°F 99.5%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
82-83°F <1%
$77,971 Vol.
$77,971 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99.5%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
82-83°F <1%
$77,971 Vol.
$77,971 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
65°F or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$134 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,671 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$8,306 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$48,426 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,448 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$3,110 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$2,988 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$1,804 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific have kept coastal Los Angeles temperatures suppressed, driving the overwhelming market consensus toward a 78–79°F daily high at KLAX.**
Latest National Weather Service model guidance and observational trends show persistent stratus and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the basin where marine effects often cap highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data favoring the narrow 78–79°F bin over higher outcomes.
Realistic challenges include any unexpected weakening of the marine layer or shift to offshore flow that could allow brief warming into the low 80s before resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$77,971End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific have kept coastal Los Angeles temperatures suppressed, driving the overwhelming market consensus toward a 78–79°F daily high at KLAX.**
Latest National Weather Service model guidance and observational trends show persistent stratus and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the basin where marine effects often cap highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data favoring the narrow 78–79°F bin over higher outcomes.
Realistic challenges include any unexpected weakening of the marine layer or shift to offshore flow that could allow brief warming into the low 80s before resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77,971End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific have kept coastal Los Angeles temperatures suppressed, driving the overwhelming market consensus toward a 78–79°F daily high at KLAX.** Latest National Weather Service model guidance and observational trends show persistent stratus and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the basin where marine effects often cap highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data favoring the narrow 78–79°F bin over higher outcomes. Realistic challenges include any unexpected weakening of the marine layer or shift to offshore flow that could allow brief warming into the low 80s before resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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