Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s as the dominant driver of market-implied odds clustered around 82–87°F. Diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, modulated by isolated late-day thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, creates the key uncertainty—convective development can reduce insolation and cap the peak by several degrees depending on timing and coverage. This aligns with typical mid-August Front Range conditions, where monsoon moisture influences and upslope flow introduce short-term variability around the 88°F climatological normal, keeping trader consensus tightly bunched without strong signals for extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 14?
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 25%
88°F or higher 8%
NEW
$11,264 Vol.
NEW
$11,264 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
26%
88°F or higher
8%
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 25%
88°F or higher 8%
NEW
$11,264 Vol.
NEW
$11,264 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
69°F or below
$611 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$781 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$964 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$707 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,158 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,111 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$1,557 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$643 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$892 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$1,817 Vol.
26%
88°F or higher
$1,023 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s as the dominant driver of market-implied odds clustered around 82–87°F. Diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, modulated by isolated late-day thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, creates the key uncertainty—convective development can reduce insolation and cap the peak by several degrees depending on timing and coverage. This aligns with typical mid-August Front Range conditions, where monsoon moisture influences and upslope flow introduce short-term variability around the 88°F climatological normal, keeping trader consensus tightly bunched without strong signals for extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,264End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s as the dominant driver of market-implied odds clustered around 82–87°F. Diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, modulated by isolated late-day thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, creates the key uncertainty—convective development can reduce insolation and cap the peak by several degrees depending on timing and coverage. This aligns with typical mid-August Front Range conditions, where monsoon moisture influences and upslope flow introduce short-term variability around the 88°F climatological normal, keeping trader consensus tightly bunched without strong signals for extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,264End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 14 point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s as the dominant driver of market-implied odds clustered around 82–87°F. Diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, modulated by isolated late-day thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, creates the key uncertainty—convective development can reduce insolation and cap the peak by several degrees depending on timing and coverage. This aligns with typical mid-August Front Range conditions, where monsoon moisture influences and upslope flow introduce short-term variability around the 88°F climatological normal, keeping trader consensus tightly bunched without strong signals for extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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