Trader consensus clusters around an 82–83°F high for Denver on August 15, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing moderating influences from increasing clouds and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures below the late-summer normal of 88°F, with steering patterns and moisture advection keeping readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent observations confirm a cooler-than-average pattern persisting into mid-month, while model spread and timing of convection introduce uncertainty that supports the adjacent 80–81°F bin. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will further refine resolution criteria based on official Denver thermometer readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 15?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$149 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$87 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$329 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$575 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$158 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$193 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$426 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$244 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$177 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$104 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around an 82–83°F high for Denver on August 15, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing moderating influences from increasing clouds and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures below the late-summer normal of 88°F, with steering patterns and moisture advection keeping readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent observations confirm a cooler-than-average pattern persisting into mid-month, while model spread and timing of convection introduce uncertainty that supports the adjacent 80–81°F bin. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will further refine resolution criteria based on official Denver thermometer readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,733End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around an 82–83°F high for Denver on August 15, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing moderating influences from increasing clouds and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures below the late-summer normal of 88°F, with steering patterns and moisture advection keeping readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent observations confirm a cooler-than-average pattern persisting into mid-month, while model spread and timing of convection introduce uncertainty that supports the adjacent 80–81°F bin. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will further refine resolution criteria based on official Denver thermometer readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,733End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around an 82–83°F high for Denver on August 15, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing moderating influences from increasing clouds and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures below the late-summer normal of 88°F, with steering patterns and moisture advection keeping readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Recent observations confirm a cooler-than-average pattern persisting into mid-month, while model spread and timing of convection introduce uncertainty that supports the adjacent 80–81°F bin. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will further refine resolution criteria based on official Denver thermometer readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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