Market-implied odds heavily favor a high of 98-99°F for Austin on August 14, aligning with National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus projecting upper 90s under a persistent subtropical ridge. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low humidity moderation, consistent with Austin’s August climatology where average highs reach 97-99°F during the seasonal peak. Recent warmer-than-normal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center and limited rainfall have sustained these conditions without pushing into extreme triple-digit territory. Official Austin-Bergstrom observations will determine final resolution as afternoon heating peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
98-99°F 65%
96-97°F 19%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
$11,375 Vol.
NEW
$11,375 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
65%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 65%
96-97°F 19%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
$11,375 Vol.
NEW
$11,375 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$192 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$222 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$812 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$757 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$1,727 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$2,062 Vol.
19%
98-99°F
$3,205 Vol.
65%
100-101°F
$812 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$335 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$469 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$782 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a high of 98-99°F for Austin on August 14, aligning with National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus projecting upper 90s under a persistent subtropical ridge. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low humidity moderation, consistent with Austin’s August climatology where average highs reach 97-99°F during the seasonal peak. Recent warmer-than-normal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center and limited rainfall have sustained these conditions without pushing into extreme triple-digit territory. Official Austin-Bergstrom observations will determine final resolution as afternoon heating peaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,375End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a high of 98-99°F for Austin on August 14, aligning with National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus projecting upper 90s under a persistent subtropical ridge. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low humidity moderation, consistent with Austin’s August climatology where average highs reach 97-99°F during the seasonal peak. Recent warmer-than-normal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center and limited rainfall have sustained these conditions without pushing into extreme triple-digit territory. Official Austin-Bergstrom observations will determine final resolution as afternoon heating peaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,375End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a high of 98-99°F for Austin on August 14, aligning with National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus projecting upper 90s under a persistent subtropical ridge. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low humidity moderation, consistent with Austin’s August climatology where average highs reach 97-99°F during the seasonal peak. Recent warmer-than-normal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center and limited rainfall have sustained these conditions without pushing into extreme triple-digit territory. Official Austin-Bergstrom observations will determine final resolution as afternoon heating peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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