Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a Houston high near 94°F for August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Typical mid-August conditions—elevated Gulf moisture, light southerly flow, and minimal daytime cloud cover—support peak readings in the mid-90s at Hobby Airport, near the seasonal average of 93-95°F. Recent observations show no strong frontal passage or tropical moisture surge to push temperatures lower or trigger widespread convection that would cap the high. With the trading day ending soon, updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution within the narrow 92-95°F range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 14?
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 31%
96-97°F 7%
98-99°F 4%
NEW
$11,929 Vol.
NEW
$11,929 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
4%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 31%
96-97°F 7%
98-99°F 4%
NEW
$11,929 Vol.
NEW
$11,929 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$618 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$379 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$605 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$2,084 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$3,735 Vol.
31%
94-95°F
$2,963 Vol.
52%
96-97°F
$509 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$250 Vol.
4%
100°F or higher
$459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a Houston high near 94°F for August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Typical mid-August conditions—elevated Gulf moisture, light southerly flow, and minimal daytime cloud cover—support peak readings in the mid-90s at Hobby Airport, near the seasonal average of 93-95°F. Recent observations show no strong frontal passage or tropical moisture surge to push temperatures lower or trigger widespread convection that would cap the high. With the trading day ending soon, updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution within the narrow 92-95°F range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,929End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a Houston high near 94°F for August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Typical mid-August conditions—elevated Gulf moisture, light southerly flow, and minimal daytime cloud cover—support peak readings in the mid-90s at Hobby Airport, near the seasonal average of 93-95°F. Recent observations show no strong frontal passage or tropical moisture surge to push temperatures lower or trigger widespread convection that would cap the high. With the trading day ending soon, updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution within the narrow 92-95°F range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,929End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on a Houston high near 94°F for August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin at over 50% implied probability. Typical mid-August conditions—elevated Gulf moisture, light southerly flow, and minimal daytime cloud cover—support peak readings in the mid-90s at Hobby Airport, near the seasonal average of 93-95°F. Recent observations show no strong frontal passage or tropical moisture surge to push temperatures lower or trigger widespread convection that would cap the high. With the trading day ending soon, updated model runs and real-time station data will determine final resolution within the narrow 92-95°F range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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