Strong forecast consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Zhengzhou remaining near or above 25–27°C on August 25, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer monsoon patterns in Henan province. Historical climatology shows average August minima around 25°C, with current model runs confirming no significant cold advection or frontal passages that would produce measurable cooling below this threshold. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C or higher aligns with these verified observational baselines and short-range model agreement, while sub-24°C outcomes remain improbable absent rare, localized anomalies like unexpected radiative cooling under clear skies. Key resolution hinges on official minimum readings at Zhengzhou’s primary weather station, with updates expected through the evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 11%
23°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
11%
25°C or higher
99%
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 11%
23°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$160 Vol.
11%
25°C or higher
$339 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Zhengzhou remaining near or above 25–27°C on August 25, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer monsoon patterns in Henan province. Historical climatology shows average August minima around 25°C, with current model runs confirming no significant cold advection or frontal passages that would produce measurable cooling below this threshold. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C or higher aligns with these verified observational baselines and short-range model agreement, while sub-24°C outcomes remain improbable absent rare, localized anomalies like unexpected radiative cooling under clear skies. Key resolution hinges on official minimum readings at Zhengzhou’s primary weather station, with updates expected through the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,358End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Zhengzhou remaining near or above 25–27°C on August 25, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer monsoon patterns in Henan province. Historical climatology shows average August minima around 25°C, with current model runs confirming no significant cold advection or frontal passages that would produce measurable cooling below this threshold. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C or higher aligns with these verified observational baselines and short-range model agreement, while sub-24°C outcomes remain improbable absent rare, localized anomalies like unexpected radiative cooling under clear skies. Key resolution hinges on official minimum readings at Zhengzhou’s primary weather station, with updates expected through the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,358End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Zhengzhou remaining near or above 25–27°C on August 25, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late-summer monsoon patterns in Henan province. Historical climatology shows average August minima around 25°C, with current model runs confirming no significant cold advection or frontal passages that would produce measurable cooling below this threshold. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C or higher aligns with these verified observational baselines and short-range model agreement, while sub-24°C outcomes remain improbable absent rare, localized anomalies like unexpected radiative cooling under clear skies. Key resolution hinges on official minimum readings at Zhengzhou’s primary weather station, with updates expected through the evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions