Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by typical late-summer heat under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with regional climatology where August averages near 31–32°C, supporting the market's near-certain pricing above 32°C. Recent observations show temperatures already climbing into the low 30s during morning hours. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include heavier or earlier precipitation suppressing peak readings or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance indicates only isolated showers with limited cooling effect. Official measurements from local stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,196 Vol.
$12,196 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,196 Vol.
$12,196 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by typical late-summer heat under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with regional climatology where August averages near 31–32°C, supporting the market's near-certain pricing above 32°C. Recent observations show temperatures already climbing into the low 30s during morning hours. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include heavier or earlier precipitation suppressing peak readings or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance indicates only isolated showers with limited cooling effect. Official measurements from local stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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