Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate continued high temperatures in Chongqing on August 27 driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over the region, with daytime maxima forecast near 37–38 °C amid light winds and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations show highs of 37–39 °C through August 24–26, with limited cooling from scattered afternoon showers. Historical August averages hover around 34 °C, but this late-summer pattern aligns with ongoing above-normal warmth before a forecast shift toward lower temperatures and increased rainfall beginning August 28. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these model consensus values and potential for minor forecast revisions before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
38°C 38%
37°C 31%
39°C 25%
36°C 16%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
16%
37°C
31%
38°C
38%
39°C
25%
40°C
12%
41°C
8%
42°C or higher
12%
38°C 38%
37°C 31%
39°C 25%
36°C 16%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
16%
37°C
31%
38°C
38%
39°C
25%
40°C
12%
41°C
8%
42°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate continued high temperatures in Chongqing on August 27 driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over the region, with daytime maxima forecast near 37–38 °C amid light winds and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations show highs of 37–39 °C through August 24–26, with limited cooling from scattered afternoon showers. Historical August averages hover around 34 °C, but this late-summer pattern aligns with ongoing above-normal warmth before a forecast shift toward lower temperatures and increased rainfall beginning August 28. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these model consensus values and potential for minor forecast revisions before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions