**Short-term forecast uncertainty around peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and showers is the main driver splitting trader consensus evenly between 29°C and 30°C for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 25.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates daytime maxima of 26–33°C with thunderstorm chances, while other models project highs near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F) under overcast skies and passing rain. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface warming compared with clearer subtropical summer days, keeping values near seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Minor probability mass on 31°C+ reflects potential for brief clearing or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling. Updated model runs and CWA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
30°C 32%
31°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
32%
31°C
25%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$21 Vol.
32%
31°C
$6 Vol.
25%
32°C
$13 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and showers is the main driver splitting trader consensus evenly between 29°C and 30°C for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 25.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates daytime maxima of 26–33°C with thunderstorm chances, while other models project highs near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F) under overcast skies and passing rain. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface warming compared with clearer subtropical summer days, keeping values near seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Minor probability mass on 31°C+ reflects potential for brief clearing or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling. Updated model runs and CWA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and showers is the main driver splitting trader consensus evenly between 29°C and 30°C for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 25.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates daytime maxima of 26–33°C with thunderstorm chances, while other models project highs near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F) under overcast skies and passing rain. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface warming compared with clearer subtropical summer days, keeping values near seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Minor probability mass on 31°C+ reflects potential for brief clearing or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling. Updated model runs and CWA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast uncertainty around peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and showers is the main driver splitting trader consensus evenly between 29°C and 30°C for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 25.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance indicates daytime maxima of 26–33°C with thunderstorm chances, while other models project highs near 29–30°C (roughly 85°F) under overcast skies and passing rain. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface warming compared with clearer subtropical summer days, keeping values near seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Minor probability mass on 31°C+ reflects potential for brief clearing or localized urban heat effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling. Updated model runs and CWA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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