**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 26, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in NIWA’s seasonal outlook.** This aligns with recent observed highs of 12–15°C and supports market-implied probabilities clustering around 15–16°C. Variability in steering patterns and potential for brief northerly influences could allow modest warming above the baseline, while persistent southerly flows or cloud cover would cap readings closer to 14°C. Official agencies note typical model spread for 24–48 hour temperature forecasts in the region, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the standard Wellington station. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 26%
17°C 9%
18°C 2%
NEW
$25,103 Vol.
NEW
$25,103 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
61%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 26%
17°C 9%
18°C 2%
NEW
$25,103 Vol.
NEW
$25,103 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$700 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,122 Vol.
1%
15°C
$7,615 Vol.
26%
16°C
$4,218 Vol.
61%
17°C
$4,936 Vol.
9%
18°C
$2,039 Vol.
2%
19°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 26, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in NIWA’s seasonal outlook.** This aligns with recent observed highs of 12–15°C and supports market-implied probabilities clustering around 15–16°C. Variability in steering patterns and potential for brief northerly influences could allow modest warming above the baseline, while persistent southerly flows or cloud cover would cap readings closer to 14°C. Official agencies note typical model spread for 24–48 hour temperature forecasts in the region, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the standard Wellington station. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$25,103End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 26, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in NIWA’s seasonal outlook.** This aligns with recent observed highs of 12–15°C and supports market-implied probabilities clustering around 15–16°C. Variability in steering patterns and potential for brief northerly influences could allow modest warming above the baseline, while persistent southerly flows or cloud cover would cap readings closer to 14°C. Official agencies note typical model spread for 24–48 hour temperature forecasts in the region, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the standard Wellington station. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,103End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 26, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in NIWA’s seasonal outlook.** This aligns with recent observed highs of 12–15°C and supports market-implied probabilities clustering around 15–16°C. Variability in steering patterns and potential for brief northerly influences could allow modest warming above the baseline, while persistent southerly flows or cloud cover would cap readings closer to 14°C. Official agencies note typical model spread for 24–48 hour temperature forecasts in the region, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum recorded at the standard Wellington station. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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