Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate a daytime peak of 28–29°C in Paris on August 25, driven by gradual clearing of morning cloud cover and southerly flow that supports diurnal heating. Morning lows near 18–20°C under overcast skies with light showers give way to partial afternoon sun, allowing surface warming while elevated humidity and scattered thunderstorms cap further rises. Recent model runs show consensus around these values, with minor spread tied to exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts; historical August baselines for the region hover near 25°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders price 29°C and 28°C highest because official guidance and real-time observations align closely with these thresholds before evening cooling begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
27°C 18%
30°C 10.9%
$55,744 Vol.
$55,744 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
31%
29°C
36%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
27°C 18%
30°C 10.9%
$55,744 Vol.
$55,744 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$3,536 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,134 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,372 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,786 Vol.
2%
26°C
$6,659 Vol.
5%
27°C
$7,487 Vol.
18%
28°C
$7,697 Vol.
31%
29°C
$9,636 Vol.
36%
30°C
$5,099 Vol.
11%
31°C
$3,341 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$1,997 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate a daytime peak of 28–29°C in Paris on August 25, driven by gradual clearing of morning cloud cover and southerly flow that supports diurnal heating. Morning lows near 18–20°C under overcast skies with light showers give way to partial afternoon sun, allowing surface warming while elevated humidity and scattered thunderstorms cap further rises. Recent model runs show consensus around these values, with minor spread tied to exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts; historical August baselines for the region hover near 25°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders price 29°C and 28°C highest because official guidance and real-time observations align closely with these thresholds before evening cooling begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$55,744End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate a daytime peak of 28–29°C in Paris on August 25, driven by gradual clearing of morning cloud cover and southerly flow that supports diurnal heating. Morning lows near 18–20°C under overcast skies with light showers give way to partial afternoon sun, allowing surface warming while elevated humidity and scattered thunderstorms cap further rises. Recent model runs show consensus around these values, with minor spread tied to exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts; historical August baselines for the region hover near 25°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders price 29°C and 28°C highest because official guidance and real-time observations align closely with these thresholds before evening cooling begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,744End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate a daytime peak of 28–29°C in Paris on August 25, driven by gradual clearing of morning cloud cover and southerly flow that supports diurnal heating. Morning lows near 18–20°C under overcast skies with light showers give way to partial afternoon sun, allowing surface warming while elevated humidity and scattered thunderstorms cap further rises. Recent model runs show consensus around these values, with minor spread tied to exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts; historical August baselines for the region hover near 25°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders price 29°C and 28°C highest because official guidance and real-time observations align closely with these thresholds before evening cooling begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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