Recent PAGASA forecasts and monsoon conditions drive the closely matched market odds around 29–32°C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow brings cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, holding highs near the 30–31°C range observed in recent days. Official outlooks list daily maxima of 29–32°C with frequent rain chances through the period, consistent with August climatology where monsoon activity typically caps peaks below clearer-season values. Model consensus shows limited variability absent a shift in steering patterns or reduced rainfall. Traders weigh these dynamics against any final PAGASA updates or short-range model adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 27?
31°C 33%
30°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
21%
30°C
24%
31°C
33%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
16%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and monsoon conditions drive the closely matched market odds around 29–32°C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow brings cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, holding highs near the 30–31°C range observed in recent days. Official outlooks list daily maxima of 29–32°C with frequent rain chances through the period, consistent with August climatology where monsoon activity typically caps peaks below clearer-season values. Model consensus shows limited variability absent a shift in steering patterns or reduced rainfall. Traders weigh these dynamics against any final PAGASA updates or short-range model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and monsoon conditions drive the closely matched market odds around 29–32°C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow brings cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, holding highs near the 30–31°C range observed in recent days. Official outlooks list daily maxima of 29–32°C with frequent rain chances through the period, consistent with August climatology where monsoon activity typically caps peaks below clearer-season values. Model consensus shows limited variability absent a shift in steering patterns or reduced rainfall. Traders weigh these dynamics against any final PAGASA updates or short-range model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts and monsoon conditions drive the closely matched market odds around 29–32°C for Manila’s August 27 maximum. Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow brings cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, holding highs near the 30–31°C range observed in recent days. Official outlooks list daily maxima of 29–32°C with frequent rain chances through the period, consistent with August climatology where monsoon activity typically caps peaks below clearer-season values. Model consensus shows limited variability absent a shift in steering patterns or reduced rainfall. Traders weigh these dynamics against any final PAGASA updates or short-range model adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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