Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including timeanddate and BBC Weather, indicate overnight lows for Zhengzhou on August 26 near 25–26°C under late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered cloud cover or drizzle. These align with climatological baselines for the region, where average August nighttime temperatures rarely dip below 24°C absent a strong cold front. Model consensus shows limited variability, supporting the market's leading 50% implied probability on 25°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 15°C or below at a distant 29.5% amid minimal cooling signals. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
15°C or below 59%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
15°C or below
59%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
44%
19°C
44%
20°C
44%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
50%
15°C or below 59%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
15°C or below
59%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
44%
19°C
44%
20°C
44%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including timeanddate and BBC Weather, indicate overnight lows for Zhengzhou on August 26 near 25–26°C under late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered cloud cover or drizzle. These align with climatological baselines for the region, where average August nighttime temperatures rarely dip below 24°C absent a strong cold front. Model consensus shows limited variability, supporting the market's leading 50% implied probability on 25°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 15°C or below at a distant 29.5% amid minimal cooling signals. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration could refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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