Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 25 under a southerly airstream, with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and periods of cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show surface readings in the 29–31°C range by early afternoon alongside rainfall in multiple districts, consistent with convective suppression of further warming. Market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C over higher values reflect trader assessment of these moisture-driven cooling effects and historical August patterns where persistent rain often caps maxima below model peaks. Updated radar and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high at the Observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
31°C 82%
32°C 19%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$121,955 Vol.
$121,955 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
82%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 82%
32°C 19%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$121,955 Vol.
$121,955 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$269 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$880 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$681 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,541 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15,922 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25,497 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,153 Vol.
82%
32°C
$15,802 Vol.
19%
33°C
$15,528 Vol.
1%
34°C
$6,935 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$12,749 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 25 under a southerly airstream, with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and periods of cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show surface readings in the 29–31°C range by early afternoon alongside rainfall in multiple districts, consistent with convective suppression of further warming. Market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C over higher values reflect trader assessment of these moisture-driven cooling effects and historical August patterns where persistent rain often caps maxima below model peaks. Updated radar and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$121,955End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 25 under a southerly airstream, with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and periods of cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show surface readings in the 29–31°C range by early afternoon alongside rainfall in multiple districts, consistent with convective suppression of further warming. Market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C over higher values reflect trader assessment of these moisture-driven cooling effects and historical August patterns where persistent rain often caps maxima below model peaks. Updated radar and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$121,955End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on August 25 under a southerly airstream, with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and periods of cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show surface readings in the 29–31°C range by early afternoon alongside rainfall in multiple districts, consistent with convective suppression of further warming. Market-implied probabilities favoring 31°C over higher values reflect trader assessment of these moisture-driven cooling effects and historical August patterns where persistent rain often caps maxima below model peaks. Updated radar and station data through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high at the Observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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