Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local meteorological updates indicates a cooling trend driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high pressure, positioning the daily maximum in Istanbul for August 27 near 27–29 °C under mostly sunny conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This follows hotter early-August peaks above 33 °C and aligns with typical late-summer moderation, where average August highs near 28 °C provide climatological context. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C as the mode, reflecting trader weighting of the latest runs showing limited potential for 30 °C or higher amid the northerly flow; updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
27°C 41%
28°C 36%
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
24%
27°C
41%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
31%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 36%
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$6 Vol.
24%
27°C
$6 Vol.
41%
28°C
$8 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
31%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local meteorological updates indicates a cooling trend driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high pressure, positioning the daily maximum in Istanbul for August 27 near 27–29 °C under mostly sunny conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This follows hotter early-August peaks above 33 °C and aligns with typical late-summer moderation, where average August highs near 28 °C provide climatological context. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C as the mode, reflecting trader weighting of the latest runs showing limited potential for 30 °C or higher amid the northerly flow; updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local meteorological updates indicates a cooling trend driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high pressure, positioning the daily maximum in Istanbul for August 27 near 27–29 °C under mostly sunny conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This follows hotter early-August peaks above 33 °C and aligns with typical late-summer moderation, where average August highs near 28 °C provide climatological context. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C as the mode, reflecting trader weighting of the latest runs showing limited potential for 30 °C or higher amid the northerly flow; updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local meteorological updates indicates a cooling trend driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high pressure, positioning the daily maximum in Istanbul for August 27 near 27–29 °C under mostly sunny conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This follows hotter early-August peaks above 33 °C and aligns with typical late-summer moderation, where average August highs near 28 °C provide climatological context. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C as the mode, reflecting trader weighting of the latest runs showing limited potential for 30 °C or higher amid the northerly flow; updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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