Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon station indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and humidity near 90%, aligning closely with seasonal August norms of 30–32°C. This strong consensus, reflected in the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 31°C, stems from stable model runs showing minimal deviation risk amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unexpected convective cell raising readings to 32°C or localized measurement variance at the official station, though current observational data and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
31°C 99.5%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$53,422 Vol.
$53,422 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$53,422 Vol.
$53,422 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,105 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,835 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$13,093 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,217 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,874 Vol.
100%
32°C
$5,913 Vol.
2%
33°C
$7,766 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon station indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and humidity near 90%, aligning closely with seasonal August norms of 30–32°C. This strong consensus, reflected in the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 31°C, stems from stable model runs showing minimal deviation risk amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unexpected convective cell raising readings to 32°C or localized measurement variance at the official station, though current observational data and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$53,422End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon station indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and humidity near 90%, aligning closely with seasonal August norms of 30–32°C. This strong consensus, reflected in the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 31°C, stems from stable model runs showing minimal deviation risk amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unexpected convective cell raising readings to 32°C or localized measurement variance at the official station, though current observational data and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,422End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon station indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and humidity near 90%, aligning closely with seasonal August norms of 30–32°C. This strong consensus, reflected in the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 31°C, stems from stable model runs showing minimal deviation risk amid typical late-summer atmospheric conditions. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unexpected convective cell raising readings to 32°C or localized measurement variance at the official station, though current observational data and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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