Recent official forecasts from sources like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Taipei around 25–27°C for August 27, driven by typical late-summer subtropical patterns with high humidity, frequent cloud cover from monsoon moisture, and minimal diurnal cooling. These conditions keep minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier periods, with model consensus favoring 26–27°C as the most likely lowest reading amid scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Traders' tight clustering on these outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any localized urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with the rarity of stronger cooling influences this time of year. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of the date remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 46%
32°C or higher 40%
22°C or below
16%
23°C
19%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
30%
27°C
31%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
2%
31°C
36%
32°C or higher
40%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 46%
32°C or higher 40%
22°C or below
16%
23°C
19%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
30%
27°C
31%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
2%
31°C
36%
32°C or higher
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Taipei around 25–27°C for August 27, driven by typical late-summer subtropical patterns with high humidity, frequent cloud cover from monsoon moisture, and minimal diurnal cooling. These conditions keep minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier periods, with model consensus favoring 26–27°C as the most likely lowest reading amid scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Traders' tight clustering on these outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any localized urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below align with the rarity of stronger cooling influences this time of year. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of the date remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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