**Trader sentiment for Taipei’s lowest temperature on August 26 reflects tight clustering around 25–27 °C, driven by ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 26 °C.** High humidity typical of the western North Pacific monsoon regime limits radiative cooling, while scattered showers or variable cloud cover—common under the influence of distant tropical systems—can trap heat and raise minimum readings by 1–2 °C. Conversely, clearer breaks allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the lower end of the range. Model spread in timing and coverage of any convection, plus Taipei’s urban heat island, sustains the near-even implied probabilities between the top outcomes rather than a dominant single value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
25°C 37%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
24°C 25%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 37%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
24°C 25%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei’s lowest temperature on August 26 reflects tight clustering around 25–27 °C, driven by ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 26 °C.** High humidity typical of the western North Pacific monsoon regime limits radiative cooling, while scattered showers or variable cloud cover—common under the influence of distant tropical systems—can trap heat and raise minimum readings by 1–2 °C. Conversely, clearer breaks allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the lower end of the range. Model spread in timing and coverage of any convection, plus Taipei’s urban heat island, sustains the near-even implied probabilities between the top outcomes rather than a dominant single value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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