Recent showers and persistent cloud cover over southern China have introduced modest cooling potential for Shenzhen's overnight minimum on August 27, tempering typical August lows near 26–27 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions feature high humidity and limited diurnal ranges, with nighttime temperatures shaped by radiative cooling under clear skies versus suppressed cooling beneath overcast, rainy layers. Official forecasts from regional models indicate 26–27 °C as the most probable range, yet variability in shower timing, wind mixing, and any weak frontal influence creates genuine uncertainty across the 24–28 °C window. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, with the spread in implied probabilities reflecting model divergence and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
22°C or below 74%
25°C 49%
29°C 48%
30°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
74%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
49%
26°C
27%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
48%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 74%
25°C 49%
29°C 48%
30°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
74%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C
$0 Vol.
48%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent showers and persistent cloud cover over southern China have introduced modest cooling potential for Shenzhen's overnight minimum on August 27, tempering typical August lows near 26–27 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions feature high humidity and limited diurnal ranges, with nighttime temperatures shaped by radiative cooling under clear skies versus suppressed cooling beneath overcast, rainy layers. Official forecasts from regional models indicate 26–27 °C as the most probable range, yet variability in shower timing, wind mixing, and any weak frontal influence creates genuine uncertainty across the 24–28 °C window. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, with the spread in implied probabilities reflecting model divergence and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent showers and persistent cloud cover over southern China have introduced modest cooling potential for Shenzhen's overnight minimum on August 27, tempering typical August lows near 26–27 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions feature high humidity and limited diurnal ranges, with nighttime temperatures shaped by radiative cooling under clear skies versus suppressed cooling beneath overcast, rainy layers. Official forecasts from regional models indicate 26–27 °C as the most probable range, yet variability in shower timing, wind mixing, and any weak frontal influence creates genuine uncertainty across the 24–28 °C window. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, with the spread in implied probabilities reflecting model divergence and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent showers and persistent cloud cover over southern China have introduced modest cooling potential for Shenzhen's overnight minimum on August 27, tempering typical August lows near 26–27 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions feature high humidity and limited diurnal ranges, with nighttime temperatures shaped by radiative cooling under clear skies versus suppressed cooling beneath overcast, rainy layers. Official forecasts from regional models indicate 26–27 °C as the most probable range, yet variability in shower timing, wind mixing, and any weak frontal influence creates genuine uncertainty across the 24–28 °C window. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, with the spread in implied probabilities reflecting model divergence and the narrow historical range for minimum temperatures this time of year. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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