Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 amid lingering East Asian summer monsoon moisture, with trader sentiment split almost evenly between 24°C and 25°C due to model uncertainty on overnight cloud cover and light precipitation. Persistent humidity and potential scattered clouds limit radiational cooling, while any brief clear periods could allow temperatures to dip an extra degree. Historical August lows average around 23–24°C, but current high pressure and urban heat effects support the tighter 24–25°C range. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of the overnight minimum will likely clarify the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
26°C 7%
23°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
26°C 7%
23°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$335 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$591 Vol.
4%
24°C
$2,266 Vol.
42%
25°C
$1,956 Vol.
41%
26°C
$1,104 Vol.
15%
27°C
$509 Vol.
2%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 amid lingering East Asian summer monsoon moisture, with trader sentiment split almost evenly between 24°C and 25°C due to model uncertainty on overnight cloud cover and light precipitation. Persistent humidity and potential scattered clouds limit radiational cooling, while any brief clear periods could allow temperatures to dip an extra degree. Historical August lows average around 23–24°C, but current high pressure and urban heat effects support the tighter 24–25°C range. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of the overnight minimum will likely clarify the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$8,458End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 amid lingering East Asian summer monsoon moisture, with trader sentiment split almost evenly between 24°C and 25°C due to model uncertainty on overnight cloud cover and light precipitation. Persistent humidity and potential scattered clouds limit radiational cooling, while any brief clear periods could allow temperatures to dip an extra degree. Historical August lows average around 23–24°C, but current high pressure and urban heat effects support the tighter 24–25°C range. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of the overnight minimum will likely clarify the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,458End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 amid lingering East Asian summer monsoon moisture, with trader sentiment split almost evenly between 24°C and 25°C due to model uncertainty on overnight cloud cover and light precipitation. Persistent humidity and potential scattered clouds limit radiational cooling, while any brief clear periods could allow temperatures to dip an extra degree. Historical August lows average around 23–24°C, but current high pressure and urban heat effects support the tighter 24–25°C range. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of the overnight minimum will likely clarify the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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