Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 25 settling near 16–18°C amid scattered showers, elevated cloud cover, and a mild southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C as the daily minimum, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer values slightly above the long-term average low of roughly 14°C. Persistent moisture and light winds have reduced the likelihood of sharper drops below 16°C, while the absence of strong high pressure keeps probabilities for 18°C or higher very low. Updated model runs and official agency guidance through the evening will determine the precise minimum recorded by standard stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
17°C 85%
16°C 5%
15°C 3%
14°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
29%
17°C
70%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 85%
16°C 5%
15°C 3%
14°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
12°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$477 Vol.
3%
16°C
$570 Vol.
29%
17°C
$1,073 Vol.
70%
18°C
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 25 settling near 16–18°C amid scattered showers, elevated cloud cover, and a mild southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C as the daily minimum, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer values slightly above the long-term average low of roughly 14°C. Persistent moisture and light winds have reduced the likelihood of sharper drops below 16°C, while the absence of strong high pressure keeps probabilities for 18°C or higher very low. Updated model runs and official agency guidance through the evening will determine the precise minimum recorded by standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,073End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 25 settling near 16–18°C amid scattered showers, elevated cloud cover, and a mild southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C as the daily minimum, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer values slightly above the long-term average low of roughly 14°C. Persistent moisture and light winds have reduced the likelihood of sharper drops below 16°C, while the absence of strong high pressure keeps probabilities for 18°C or higher very low. Updated model runs and official agency guidance through the evening will determine the precise minimum recorded by standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,073End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 25 settling near 16–18°C amid scattered showers, elevated cloud cover, and a mild southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C as the daily minimum, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer values slightly above the long-term average low of roughly 14°C. Persistent moisture and light winds have reduced the likelihood of sharper drops below 16°C, while the absence of strong high pressure keeps probabilities for 18°C or higher very low. Updated model runs and official agency guidance through the evening will determine the precise minimum recorded by standard stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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