Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on August 27 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by an incoming Atlantic trough that increases cloud cover and showers, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations show a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with morning readings already dipping toward 17–18 °C and expected minimums further moderated by southeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Historical late-August baselines hover around 14–15 °C, yet persistent overcast and potential thunderstorm activity tonight and tomorrow evening suppress further drops below 17 °C while capping the floor above 20 °C. Updated model runs and next-day observational adjustments from Paris stations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
18°C 64%
19°C 43%
20°C 32%
17°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
19%
18°C
64%
19°C
43%
20°C
32%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
5%
18°C 64%
19°C 43%
20°C 32%
17°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
64%
19°C
$0 Vol.
43%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on August 27 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by an incoming Atlantic trough that increases cloud cover and showers, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations show a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with morning readings already dipping toward 17–18 °C and expected minimums further moderated by southeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Historical late-August baselines hover around 14–15 °C, yet persistent overcast and potential thunderstorm activity tonight and tomorrow evening suppress further drops below 17 °C while capping the floor above 20 °C. Updated model runs and next-day observational adjustments from Paris stations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on August 27 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by an incoming Atlantic trough that increases cloud cover and showers, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations show a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with morning readings already dipping toward 17–18 °C and expected minimums further moderated by southeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Historical late-August baselines hover around 14–15 °C, yet persistent overcast and potential thunderstorm activity tonight and tomorrow evening suppress further drops below 17 °C while capping the floor above 20 °C. Updated model runs and next-day observational adjustments from Paris stations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on August 27 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by an incoming Atlantic trough that increases cloud cover and showers, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations show a cooling trend after mid-August warmth, with morning readings already dipping toward 17–18 °C and expected minimums further moderated by southeasterly flow advecting milder maritime air. Historical late-August baselines hover around 14–15 °C, yet persistent overcast and potential thunderstorm activity tonight and tomorrow evening suppress further drops below 17 °C while capping the floor above 20 °C. Updated model runs and next-day observational adjustments from Paris stations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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