Stable high-pressure systems and clear subtropical conditions over the eastern Mediterranean are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 14, with light winds reducing marine cooling and minimal cloud cover enabling strong solar heating. Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models align with this outcome, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 31–32°C. Current conditions show mostly sunny skies and temperatures building toward the upper end of typical ranges without significant heatwave anomalies or precipitation to moderate readings. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at local stations, with limited model spread supporting the narrow probability distribution around 32–34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
33°C 64%
32°C 36%
34°C 2.0%
35°C <1%
$25,541 Vol.
$25,541 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
36%
33°C
64%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
32°C 36%
34°C 2.0%
35°C <1%
$25,541 Vol.
$25,541 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$776 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,098 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,556 Vol.
36%
33°C
$7,915 Vol.
64%
34°C
$3,764 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,977 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and clear subtropical conditions over the eastern Mediterranean are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 14, with light winds reducing marine cooling and minimal cloud cover enabling strong solar heating. Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models align with this outcome, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 31–32°C. Current conditions show mostly sunny skies and temperatures building toward the upper end of typical ranges without significant heatwave anomalies or precipitation to moderate readings. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at local stations, with limited model spread supporting the narrow probability distribution around 32–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$25,541End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and clear subtropical conditions over the eastern Mediterranean are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 14, with light winds reducing marine cooling and minimal cloud cover enabling strong solar heating. Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models align with this outcome, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 31–32°C. Current conditions show mostly sunny skies and temperatures building toward the upper end of typical ranges without significant heatwave anomalies or precipitation to moderate readings. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at local stations, with limited model spread supporting the narrow probability distribution around 32–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,541End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems and clear subtropical conditions over the eastern Mediterranean are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 14, with light winds reducing marine cooling and minimal cloud cover enabling strong solar heating. Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models align with this outcome, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 31–32°C. Current conditions show mostly sunny skies and temperatures building toward the upper end of typical ranges without significant heatwave anomalies or precipitation to moderate readings. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at local stations, with limited model spread supporting the narrow probability distribution around 32–34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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