Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and WMO point to a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit sea-breeze cooling. Typical mid-August climatology features daily maxima near 31–32°C with marine moderation, yet recent model runs and observed warming above seasonal normals support the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Minor downward revisions in guidance or stronger afternoon breezes could favor 32°C, while any delay in cloud development keeps 34°C as a low-probability tail outcome. Traders are closely monitoring updated runs ahead of peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
33°C 83%
32°C 14%
34°C 5.5%
35°C <1%
$24,122 Vol.
$24,122 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
14%
33°C
83%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 83%
32°C 14%
34°C 5.5%
35°C <1%
$24,122 Vol.
$24,122 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$776 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,098 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,051 Vol.
14%
33°C
$7,390 Vol.
83%
34°C
$3,575 Vol.
6%
35°C
$1,882 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and WMO point to a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit sea-breeze cooling. Typical mid-August climatology features daily maxima near 31–32°C with marine moderation, yet recent model runs and observed warming above seasonal normals support the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Minor downward revisions in guidance or stronger afternoon breezes could favor 32°C, while any delay in cloud development keeps 34°C as a low-probability tail outcome. Traders are closely monitoring updated runs ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,122End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and WMO point to a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit sea-breeze cooling. Typical mid-August climatology features daily maxima near 31–32°C with marine moderation, yet recent model runs and observed warming above seasonal normals support the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Minor downward revisions in guidance or stronger afternoon breezes could favor 32°C, while any delay in cloud development keeps 34°C as a low-probability tail outcome. Traders are closely monitoring updated runs ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,122End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and WMO point to a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit sea-breeze cooling. Typical mid-August climatology features daily maxima near 31–32°C with marine moderation, yet recent model runs and observed warming above seasonal normals support the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C. Minor downward revisions in guidance or stronger afternoon breezes could favor 32°C, while any delay in cloud development keeps 34°C as a low-probability tail outcome. Traders are closely monitoring updated runs ahead of peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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