Traders see near-even odds between a 26°C low and temperatures at or below 21°C because official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project nighttime minima of 26–30°C amid typical August conditions of high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These values align with climatological baselines where urban heat and moisture limit nocturnal cooling, yet increased cloud cover or rainfall could enhance downward longwave radiation and keep readings closer to the seasonal norm near 26°C. Model consensus remains tight, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing the key variable that could tip outcomes lower if stronger cooling occurs under clearer breaks. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations through the evening will drive further adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 21?
23°C 59%
22°C 53%
25°C 35%
24°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
-
22°C
53%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
45%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 59%
22°C 53%
25°C 35%
24°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$117 Vol.
-
22°C
$92 Vol.
53%
23°C
$98 Vol.
59%
24°C
$6 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$10 Vol.
45%
27°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between a 26°C low and temperatures at or below 21°C because official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project nighttime minima of 26–30°C amid typical August conditions of high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These values align with climatological baselines where urban heat and moisture limit nocturnal cooling, yet increased cloud cover or rainfall could enhance downward longwave radiation and keep readings closer to the seasonal norm near 26°C. Model consensus remains tight, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing the key variable that could tip outcomes lower if stronger cooling occurs under clearer breaks. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations through the evening will drive further adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$729End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between a 26°C low and temperatures at or below 21°C because official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project nighttime minima of 26–30°C amid typical August conditions of high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These values align with climatological baselines where urban heat and moisture limit nocturnal cooling, yet increased cloud cover or rainfall could enhance downward longwave radiation and keep readings closer to the seasonal norm near 26°C. Model consensus remains tight, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing the key variable that could tip outcomes lower if stronger cooling occurs under clearer breaks. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations through the evening will drive further adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$729End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between a 26°C low and temperatures at or below 21°C because official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project nighttime minima of 26–30°C amid typical August conditions of high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These values align with climatological baselines where urban heat and moisture limit nocturnal cooling, yet increased cloud cover or rainfall could enhance downward longwave radiation and keep readings closer to the seasonal norm near 26°C. Model consensus remains tight, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing the key variable that could tip outcomes lower if stronger cooling occurs under clearer breaks. Updated CWA guidance and real-time observations through the evening will drive further adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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