Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers that could cap the peak amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions of strong solar heating, high humidity, and light winds. Recent comparable days reached 36°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty reflected in the close implied probabilities between the 35°C and 36°C brackets. Model consensus emphasizes afternoon convection as the key variable that may suppress the maximum, while broader seasonal baselines show August averages near 33–34°C with occasional spikes above 35°C. Updated CWA guidance and radar trends ahead of resolution will likely refine these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 15?
35°C 43%
36°C 32%
34°C 16%
33°C 6%
NEW
$10,083 Vol.
NEW
$10,083 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
16%
35°C
43%
36°C
32%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 43%
36°C 32%
34°C 16%
33°C 6%
NEW
$10,083 Vol.
NEW
$10,083 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$479 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,962 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,465 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,595 Vol.
16%
35°C
$787 Vol.
43%
36°C
$1,422 Vol.
32%
37°C
$453 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$670 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers that could cap the peak amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions of strong solar heating, high humidity, and light winds. Recent comparable days reached 36°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty reflected in the close implied probabilities between the 35°C and 36°C brackets. Model consensus emphasizes afternoon convection as the key variable that may suppress the maximum, while broader seasonal baselines show August averages near 33–34°C with occasional spikes above 35°C. Updated CWA guidance and radar trends ahead of resolution will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,083End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers that could cap the peak amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions of strong solar heating, high humidity, and light winds. Recent comparable days reached 36°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty reflected in the close implied probabilities between the 35°C and 36°C brackets. Model consensus emphasizes afternoon convection as the key variable that may suppress the maximum, while broader seasonal baselines show August averages near 33–34°C with occasional spikes above 35°C. Updated CWA guidance and radar trends ahead of resolution will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,083End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei on August 15, with afternoon thundershowers that could cap the peak amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions of strong solar heating, high humidity, and light winds. Recent comparable days reached 36°C under clearer skies, creating trader uncertainty reflected in the close implied probabilities between the 35°C and 36°C brackets. Model consensus emphasizes afternoon convection as the key variable that may suppress the maximum, while broader seasonal baselines show August averages near 33–34°C with occasional spikes above 35°C. Updated CWA guidance and radar trends ahead of resolution will likely refine these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions