**Trader sentiment for Singapore's highest temperature on August 15 centers on 32°C (56% implied probability) because official forecasts and climatological data align there amid a strengthening El Niño.** Singapore's equatorial tropical climate normally produces August daytime highs near 30–31°C under Southwest Monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent afternoon showers moderating peaks. Recent drier conditions in early August, linked to the developing El Niño (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C and projected to strengthen further), have suppressed rainfall and allowed slightly elevated maxima, with National Environment Agency outlooks indicating 32–34°C on many days. Model consensus and historical analogs support 32°C as the most probable outcome for the 15th, while the modest probabilities for 33°C reflect residual El Niño-driven warmth and forecast uncertainty ranges. Resolution hinges on the official Meteorological Service Singapore recording, with new daily forecasts and any last-minute model shifts serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
32°C 55%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
30°C 8%
NEW
$33,715 Vol.
NEW
$33,715 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
55%
33°C
22%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
30°C 8%
NEW
$33,715 Vol.
NEW
$33,715 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,626 Vol.
8%
31°C
$4,913 Vol.
16%
32°C
$6,534 Vol.
55%
33°C
$5,674 Vol.
22%
34°C
$3,224 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,807 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Singapore's highest temperature on August 15 centers on 32°C (56% implied probability) because official forecasts and climatological data align there amid a strengthening El Niño.**
Singapore's equatorial tropical climate normally produces August daytime highs near 30–31°C under Southwest Monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent afternoon showers moderating peaks. Recent drier conditions in early August, linked to the developing El Niño (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C and projected to strengthen further), have suppressed rainfall and allowed slightly elevated maxima, with National Environment Agency outlooks indicating 32–34°C on many days.
Model consensus and historical analogs support 32°C as the most probable outcome for the 15th, while the modest probabilities for 33°C reflect residual El Niño-driven warmth and forecast uncertainty ranges. Resolution hinges on the official Meteorological Service Singapore recording, with new daily forecasts and any last-minute model shifts serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$33,715End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Singapore's highest temperature on August 15 centers on 32°C (56% implied probability) because official forecasts and climatological data align there amid a strengthening El Niño.**
Singapore's equatorial tropical climate normally produces August daytime highs near 30–31°C under Southwest Monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent afternoon showers moderating peaks. Recent drier conditions in early August, linked to the developing El Niño (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C and projected to strengthen further), have suppressed rainfall and allowed slightly elevated maxima, with National Environment Agency outlooks indicating 32–34°C on many days.
Model consensus and historical analogs support 32°C as the most probable outcome for the 15th, while the modest probabilities for 33°C reflect residual El Niño-driven warmth and forecast uncertainty ranges. Resolution hinges on the official Meteorological Service Singapore recording, with new daily forecasts and any last-minute model shifts serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,715End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Singapore's highest temperature on August 15 centers on 32°C (56% implied probability) because official forecasts and climatological data align there amid a strengthening El Niño.** Singapore's equatorial tropical climate normally produces August daytime highs near 30–31°C under Southwest Monsoon conditions, with high humidity and frequent afternoon showers moderating peaks. Recent drier conditions in early August, linked to the developing El Niño (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C and projected to strengthen further), have suppressed rainfall and allowed slightly elevated maxima, with National Environment Agency outlooks indicating 32–34°C on many days. Model consensus and historical analogs support 32°C as the most probable outcome for the 15th, while the modest probabilities for 33°C reflect residual El Niño-driven warmth and forecast uncertainty ranges. Resolution hinges on the official Meteorological Service Singapore recording, with new daily forecasts and any last-minute model shifts serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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