Recent forecast models converge on a Shenzhen daily maximum near 32–33°C for August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, where high humidity above 75% and scattered afternoon convection limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because subtle differences in cloud timing, sea-breeze strength, and localized thunderstorm development can shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these variables, as historical August patterns show daily maxima frequently oscillating within this narrow range under similar atmospheric setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
32°C 32%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
34°C 14%
NEW
$13,425 Vol.
NEW
$13,425 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
32%
33°C
30%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
34°C 14%
NEW
$13,425 Vol.
NEW
$13,425 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$819 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,928 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$737 Vol.
2%
30°C
$204 Vol.
4%
31°C
$205 Vol.
16%
32°C
$448 Vol.
32%
33°C
$2,817 Vol.
30%
34°C
$491 Vol.
14%
35°C
$1,234 Vol.
2%
36°C
$3,181 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models converge on a Shenzhen daily maximum near 32–33°C for August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, where high humidity above 75% and scattered afternoon convection limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because subtle differences in cloud timing, sea-breeze strength, and localized thunderstorm development can shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these variables, as historical August patterns show daily maxima frequently oscillating within this narrow range under similar atmospheric setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$13,425End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models converge on a Shenzhen daily maximum near 32–33°C for August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, where high humidity above 75% and scattered afternoon convection limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because subtle differences in cloud timing, sea-breeze strength, and localized thunderstorm development can shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these variables, as historical August patterns show daily maxima frequently oscillating within this narrow range under similar atmospheric setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,425End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models converge on a Shenzhen daily maximum near 32–33°C for August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, where high humidity above 75% and scattered afternoon convection limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because subtle differences in cloud timing, sea-breeze strength, and localized thunderstorm development can shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these variables, as historical August patterns show daily maxima frequently oscillating within this narrow range under similar atmospheric setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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