Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and associated rainfall are moderating Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 14 to a market-implied 28°C outcome holding 98.9% consensus. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate align with this range, citing easterly flow, high humidity near 85%, and limited solar insolation that suppress heating below the typical late-summer baseline near 32°C. These conditions reflect convective activity and moisture convergence that cap daytime maxima. Clearer skies or a temporary lull in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
28°C 99.4%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$130,716 Vol.
$130,716 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.4%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$130,716 Vol.
$130,716 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
$3,955 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,235 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,220 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$21,809 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36,927 Vol.
99%
29°C
$21,346 Vol.
1%
30°C
$16,778 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,362 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,878 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,947 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and associated rainfall are moderating Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 14 to a market-implied 28°C outcome holding 98.9% consensus. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate align with this range, citing easterly flow, high humidity near 85%, and limited solar insolation that suppress heating below the typical late-summer baseline near 32°C. These conditions reflect convective activity and moisture convergence that cap daytime maxima. Clearer skies or a temporary lull in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$130,716End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and associated rainfall are moderating Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 14 to a market-implied 28°C outcome holding 98.9% consensus. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate align with this range, citing easterly flow, high humidity near 85%, and limited solar insolation that suppress heating below the typical late-summer baseline near 32°C. These conditions reflect convective activity and moisture convergence that cap daytime maxima. Clearer skies or a temporary lull in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130,716End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and associated rainfall are moderating Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 14 to a market-implied 28°C outcome holding 98.9% consensus. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate align with this range, citing easterly flow, high humidity near 85%, and limited solar insolation that suppress heating below the typical late-summer baseline near 32°C. These conditions reflect convective activity and moisture convergence that cap daytime maxima. Clearer skies or a temporary lull in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C, though model consensus and current observations make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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