Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project maximum temperatures in Qingdao of 29–30°C on August 15 under cloudy skies with light rain and northeasterly winds, conditions that typically limit peak daytime heating along the coastal Shandong Peninsula. These align closely with historical August averages near 29°C and reflect current model consensus on modest diurnal warming amid moderate humidity and limited solar insolation. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–31°C outcomes, incorporating uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects before official observations finalize the daily high. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring the region will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 15?
31°C 43%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
27%
31°C
43%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$278 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,047 Vol.
3%
29°C
$228 Vol.
12%
30°C
$444 Vol.
27%
31°C
$459 Vol.
43%
32°C
$711 Vol.
17%
33°C
$183 Vol.
4%
34°C
$343 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$156 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project maximum temperatures in Qingdao of 29–30°C on August 15 under cloudy skies with light rain and northeasterly winds, conditions that typically limit peak daytime heating along the coastal Shandong Peninsula. These align closely with historical August averages near 29°C and reflect current model consensus on modest diurnal warming amid moderate humidity and limited solar insolation. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–31°C outcomes, incorporating uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects before official observations finalize the daily high. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring the region will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,277End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project maximum temperatures in Qingdao of 29–30°C on August 15 under cloudy skies with light rain and northeasterly winds, conditions that typically limit peak daytime heating along the coastal Shandong Peninsula. These align closely with historical August averages near 29°C and reflect current model consensus on modest diurnal warming amid moderate humidity and limited solar insolation. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–31°C outcomes, incorporating uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects before official observations finalize the daily high. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring the region will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,277End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project maximum temperatures in Qingdao of 29–30°C on August 15 under cloudy skies with light rain and northeasterly winds, conditions that typically limit peak daytime heating along the coastal Shandong Peninsula. These align closely with historical August averages near 29°C and reflect current model consensus on modest diurnal warming amid moderate humidity and limited solar insolation. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probabilities to 30–31°C outcomes, incorporating uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects before official observations finalize the daily high. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring the region will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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