The market's 100% consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 20 reflects the official minimum temperature recorded at Miami International Airport, which aligned precisely with that narrow band amid elevated overnight readings. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions, kept the daily low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 77.7°F. Recent heat-wave conditions, including a 100°F record high two days earlier, further suppressed nocturnal temperature drops across South Florida. While official National Weather Service verification and station data underpin this outcome with high confidence, minor discrepancies in preliminary versus final reports or localized microclimate effects could theoretically have shifted the exact value, though none materialized here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$10,600 Vol.
$10,600 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$10,600 Vol.
$10,600 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
$830 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$475 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$493 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$497 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$519 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,171 Vol.
100%
82-83°F
$1,503 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$517 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,406 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$770 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$1,420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 20 reflects the official minimum temperature recorded at Miami International Airport, which aligned precisely with that narrow band amid elevated overnight readings. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions, kept the daily low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 77.7°F. Recent heat-wave conditions, including a 100°F record high two days earlier, further suppressed nocturnal temperature drops across South Florida. While official National Weather Service verification and station data underpin this outcome with high confidence, minor discrepancies in preliminary versus final reports or localized microclimate effects could theoretically have shifted the exact value, though none materialized here.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$10,600End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 20 reflects the official minimum temperature recorded at Miami International Airport, which aligned precisely with that narrow band amid elevated overnight readings. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions, kept the daily low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 77.7°F. Recent heat-wave conditions, including a 100°F record high two days earlier, further suppressed nocturnal temperature drops across South Florida. While official National Weather Service verification and station data underpin this outcome with high confidence, minor discrepancies in preliminary versus final reports or localized microclimate effects could theoretically have shifted the exact value, though none materialized here.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,600End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's 100% consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 20 reflects the official minimum temperature recorded at Miami International Airport, which aligned precisely with that narrow band amid elevated overnight readings. Persistent warmth from a strong subtropical ridge, combined with high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions, kept the daily low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average of 77.7°F. Recent heat-wave conditions, including a 100°F record high two days earlier, further suppressed nocturnal temperature drops across South Florida. While official National Weather Service verification and station data underpin this outcome with high confidence, minor discrepancies in preliminary versus final reports or localized microclimate effects could theoretically have shifted the exact value, though none materialized here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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