Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Beijing on August 15, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and increased cloud cover that reduces daytime solar heating through evaporative cooling and limited insolation. These factors align with climatological norms showing declining August highs around 30–31°C after early-month peaks, with model consensus supporting limited upside potential above 33°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–32°C outcomes as fresh model runs incorporate ongoing convective activity and stable steering patterns, while upcoming official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution based on verified station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
32°C 43%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
43%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$1,318 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$814 Vol.
3%
30°C
$764 Vol.
8%
31°C
$688 Vol.
27%
32°C
$1,429 Vol.
43%
33°C
$1,109 Vol.
20%
34°C
$570 Vol.
4%
35°C
$293 Vol.
1%
36°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Beijing on August 15, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and increased cloud cover that reduces daytime solar heating through evaporative cooling and limited insolation. These factors align with climatological norms showing declining August highs around 30–31°C after early-month peaks, with model consensus supporting limited upside potential above 33°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–32°C outcomes as fresh model runs incorporate ongoing convective activity and stable steering patterns, while upcoming official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,678End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Beijing on August 15, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and increased cloud cover that reduces daytime solar heating through evaporative cooling and limited insolation. These factors align with climatological norms showing declining August highs around 30–31°C after early-month peaks, with model consensus supporting limited upside potential above 33°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–32°C outcomes as fresh model runs incorporate ongoing convective activity and stable steering patterns, while upcoming official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,678End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Beijing on August 15, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions featuring elevated humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and increased cloud cover that reduces daytime solar heating through evaporative cooling and limited insolation. These factors align with climatological norms showing declining August highs around 30–31°C after early-month peaks, with model consensus supporting limited upside potential above 33°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–32°C outcomes as fresh model runs incorporate ongoing convective activity and stable steering patterns, while upcoming official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution based on verified station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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