Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's August 16 maximum near 28–29 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and modest northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating in the city's continental setting. Recent runs show slight cooling relative to the long-term August average of roughly 31 °C, driven by persistent dry conditions and limited moisture advection. With leading market probabilities split between 27 °C and 28 °C, traders are weighing small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and potential late-day cloud development that could trim peak readings by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
27°C 38%
28°C 37%
29°C 14%
26°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
38%
28°C
37%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 37%
29°C 14%
26°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$244 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$21 Vol.
2%
26°C
$375 Vol.
11%
27°C
$230 Vol.
38%
28°C
$348 Vol.
37%
29°C
$86 Vol.
14%
30°C
$94 Vol.
4%
31°C
$28 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's August 16 maximum near 28–29 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and modest northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating in the city's continental setting. Recent runs show slight cooling relative to the long-term August average of roughly 31 °C, driven by persistent dry conditions and limited moisture advection. With leading market probabilities split between 27 °C and 28 °C, traders are weighing small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and potential late-day cloud development that could trim peak readings by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,639End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's August 16 maximum near 28–29 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and modest northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating in the city's continental setting. Recent runs show slight cooling relative to the long-term August average of roughly 31 °C, driven by persistent dry conditions and limited moisture advection. With leading market probabilities split between 27 °C and 28 °C, traders are weighing small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and potential late-day cloud development that could trim peak readings by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,639End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's August 16 maximum near 28–29 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and modest northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating in the city's continental setting. Recent runs show slight cooling relative to the long-term August average of roughly 31 °C, driven by persistent dry conditions and limited moisture advection. With leading market probabilities split between 27 °C and 28 °C, traders are weighing small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and potential late-day cloud development that could trim peak readings by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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