Recent SpaceX Starship test flights, including the July 2026 Flight 13 debut of V3 vehicles with upgraded Raptor engines and avionics, have advanced tower-based booster catching and reuse, following the first Super Heavy booster reuse on Flight 9 in 2025. These milestones, combined with ongoing preparations for an orbital V3 mission and potential upper-stage catch attempt on Flight 14, underpin trader confidence in achieving full system reusability—both stages recovered and rapidly reflown—well before 2028. Upcoming catalysts include expanded flight cadence, in-space propellant transfer demonstrations, and Starlink deployments that validate the architecture needed for high-rate operations. While ship catch reliability remains the key hurdle, the pace of hardware iterations and regulatory progress supports the 69.5% implied probability for a "Yes" outcome.