Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a moderating high near 27°C on August 15, driven by a shift to north-easterly winds and clear conditions that limit daytime heating after several days of 30–32°C readings. Ensemble models show limited variability, with consensus on minimal cloud cover and no significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. This cooling relative to the long-term August average of 31–32°C underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C outcomes, as traders align with official guidance from agencies emphasizing stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine exact maxima within narrow bounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 15?
27°C 55%
26°C 34%
28°C 11%
25°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
34%
27°C
55%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
26°C 34%
28°C 11%
25°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
23°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$389 Vol.
1%
25°C
$320 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,067 Vol.
34%
27°C
$2,280 Vol.
55%
28°C
$393 Vol.
11%
29°C
$605 Vol.
2%
30°C
$391 Vol.
1%
31°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a moderating high near 27°C on August 15, driven by a shift to north-easterly winds and clear conditions that limit daytime heating after several days of 30–32°C readings. Ensemble models show limited variability, with consensus on minimal cloud cover and no significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. This cooling relative to the long-term August average of 31–32°C underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C outcomes, as traders align with official guidance from agencies emphasizing stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine exact maxima within narrow bounds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,154End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a moderating high near 27°C on August 15, driven by a shift to north-easterly winds and clear conditions that limit daytime heating after several days of 30–32°C readings. Ensemble models show limited variability, with consensus on minimal cloud cover and no significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. This cooling relative to the long-term August average of 31–32°C underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C outcomes, as traders align with official guidance from agencies emphasizing stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine exact maxima within narrow bounds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,154End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a moderating high near 27°C on August 15, driven by a shift to north-easterly winds and clear conditions that limit daytime heating after several days of 30–32°C readings. Ensemble models show limited variability, with consensus on minimal cloud cover and no significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. This cooling relative to the long-term August average of 31–32°C underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26–27°C outcomes, as traders align with official guidance from agencies emphasizing stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer diurnal ranges. Updated model runs closer to resolution could refine exact maxima within narrow bounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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