Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS are driving near-certain market-implied odds for a 19°C high in Amsterdam on September 22, 2026. Overcast skies and light winds have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the long-term average high of 18.3°C at Schiphol station while preventing any surge toward 20°C or above. Official observations through the day, including afternoon readings near 19°C, reinforce this outcome under stable high-pressure influence. Resolution depends on the final NOAA maximum at the airport station, with only minor revisions to late-day data or unforecast clear spells posing realistic but low-probability challenges to the consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,924 Vol.
$42,924 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,924 Vol.
$42,924 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
$116 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$12,054 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$10,629 Vol.
100%
20°C
$8,230 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,963 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,757 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,313 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS are driving near-certain market-implied odds for a 19°C high in Amsterdam on September 22, 2026. Overcast skies and light winds have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the long-term average high of 18.3°C at Schiphol station while preventing any surge toward 20°C or above. Official observations through the day, including afternoon readings near 19°C, reinforce this outcome under stable high-pressure influence. Resolution depends on the final NOAA maximum at the airport station, with only minor revisions to late-day data or unforecast clear spells posing realistic but low-probability challenges to the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$42,924End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS are driving near-certain market-implied odds for a 19°C high in Amsterdam on September 22, 2026. Overcast skies and light winds have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the long-term average high of 18.3°C at Schiphol station while preventing any surge toward 20°C or above. Official observations through the day, including afternoon readings near 19°C, reinforce this outcome under stable high-pressure influence. Resolution depends on the final NOAA maximum at the airport station, with only minor revisions to late-day data or unforecast clear spells posing realistic but low-probability challenges to the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,924End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS are driving near-certain market-implied odds for a 19°C high in Amsterdam on September 22, 2026. Overcast skies and light winds have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with the long-term average high of 18.3°C at Schiphol station while preventing any surge toward 20°C or above. Official observations through the day, including afternoon readings near 19°C, reinforce this outcome under stable high-pressure influence. Resolution depends on the final NOAA maximum at the airport station, with only minor revisions to late-day data or unforecast clear spells posing realistic but low-probability challenges to the consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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