Recent weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate a maximum of 17°C in Munich on September 22, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and no precipitation. This aligns with a cool early autumn pattern, falling below the 1991–2020 average high of 18.8°C for the date and consistent with multiple ensemble runs showing limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing surface data, though minor revisions in final official readings from urban stations could theoretically shift the exact bin if localized heating occurs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 22?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$59,714 Vol.
$59,714 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$59,714 Vol.
$59,714 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate a maximum of 17°C in Munich on September 22, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and no precipitation. This aligns with a cool early autumn pattern, falling below the 1991–2020 average high of 18.8°C for the date and consistent with multiple ensemble runs showing limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing surface data, though minor revisions in final official readings from urban stations could theoretically shift the exact bin if localized heating occurs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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